The Missouri Senate race between Republican Josh Hawley and Democrat Claire McCaskill.
Three polls have been released in the past several days. Surveys from both FOX News and Missouri Scout show a statistical tie. FOX News has the contest deadlocked at 45% each while the Missouri Scout poll shows a dead heat at 47%. A survey released Sunday by the Republican-affiliated Trafalgar Group gave Hawley a four-point lead (48%-44%). The Real Clear Politics average of polls has Hawley with 1.4 percentage point lead.
All the polling is within the margin of error. Meet The Press moderator Chuck Todd confirmed on the air that Hawley had canceled an appearance on the TV program yesterday, and speculated the Republican had done so to continue last-minute campaigning in Missouri after seeing the poll results.