What to expect for weather in the upcoming week

Missouri Weather

The average high temperature for June in north Missouri is 82 degrees, but we are currently experiencing temperatures above normal for this time of year.

With an early heatwave setting in, temperatures in north Missouri have been averaging about 10 degrees above normal.

Monday should see warm temperatures once again, although nothing well outside of seasonal normals, with expected highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s.

Expect scattered to numerous strong to severe storms to form across the High Plains Monday afternoon and evening. As the evening progresses expect these storms out west to congeal into one or several thunderstorm complexes and proceed eastward through the overnight hours. With solid contribution from the low-level  jet stream the weather service is fairly confident that a complex will be able to traverse across the state of Kansas and enter our forecast area early Tuesday morning.

The exact track of this weather complex is in question, as it could trek northeastward into southern Nebraska or perhaps more eastward into northeast Kansas and northwest Missouri.

At any rate, expect the best chance for rain on Monday night to occur well after midnight and likely along or north of I-70, although even areas along and south of the interstate will be in play for Monday night/Tuesday morning thunderstorms.

Tuesday`s setup then becomes a bit conditional based on how the Monday night weather complex behaves. Assuming the thunderstorms can clear the area and clouds break up across eastern Kansas and western Missouri there will be a good chance at some strong to severe storms across much of the forecast area on Tuesday.

This dry line, as well as the aforementioned mid-level trough, will be the major players for potential severe weather on Tuesday afternoon/evening. Indications are good that the area in the vicinity of the dryline, to the west of the forecast area will see plenty of sunshine. Should that dry line set up move further east, then far Eastern Kansas and Western Missouri could have a better chance of seeing organized severe storms, perhaps a few supercells.

Expect storms to clear the area by Wednesday morning, with the high on Wednesday around 92 degrees. North Missouri will return to more seasonal temperatures starting Thursday, with highs in the mid-eighties.

Your forecast for north Missouri currently looks like this, however, is conducent to change depending on a variety of variables.

Monday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 89. South wind 5 to 9 mph becoming west southwest in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Monday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. South southwest wind 5 to 9 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Tuesday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 89. South wind 5 to 10 mph increasing to 13 to 18 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Tuesday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Some of the storms could be severe. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 92.

Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 67.

Thursday: Sunny, with a high near 88.

Thursday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 64.

Friday: Sunny, with a high near 84.

Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 62.

Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 85.

The best defense against heat-related illness in times of high heat is prevention. Here are some prevention tips:

  • Photo of athlete drinking water. Drink more fluids (nonalcoholic), regardless of your activity level. Don’t wait until you’re thirsty to drink. Warning: If your doctor generally limits the amount of fluid you drink or has you on water pills, ask your doctor how much you should drink while the weather is hot.

  • Don’t drink liquids that contain alcohol or large amounts of sugar–these actually cause you to lose more body fluid. Also, avoid very cold drinks, because they can cause stomach cramps.

  • Stay indoors and, if at all possible, stay in an air-conditioned place. If your home does not have air conditioning, go to the shopping mall or public library–even a few hours spent in air-conditioning can help your body stay cooler when you go back into the heat. Call your local health department to see if there are any heat-relief shelters in your area.

  • Electric fans may provide comfort, but when the temperature is in the high 90s, fans will not prevent heat-related illness. Taking a cool shower or bath, or moving to an air-conditioned place is a much better way to cool off.

  • Wear lightweight, light-colored, loose-fitting clothing.

  • NEVER leave anyone in a closed, parked vehicle. This would of course, include pets.

  • Although anyone at any time can suffer from heat-related illness, some people are at greater risk than others. Check regularly on:
    • Infants and young children
    • People aged 65 or older
    • People who have a mental illness
    • Those who are physically ill, especially with heart disease or high blood pressure

  • Visit adults at risk at least twice a day and closely watch them for signs of heat exhaustion or heat stroke. Infants and young children, of course, need much more frequent watching.

If you must be out in the heat:

  • Limit your outdoor activity to morning and evening hours.

  • Cut down on exercise. If you must exercise, drink two to four glasses of cool, nonalcoholic fluids each hour.  A sports beverage can replace the salt and minerals you lose in sweat. Warning: If you are on a low-salt diet, talk with your doctor before drinking a sports beverage. Remember the warning in the first “tip” (above), too.

  • Try to rest often in shady areas.

  • Protect yourself from the sun by wearing a wide-brimmed hat (also keeps you cooler) and sunglasses and by putting on sunscreen of SPF 15 or higher (the most effective products say “broad spectrum” or “UVA/UVB protection” on their labels).